{
  "schemaVersion": "1.0.0",
  "recordType": "lineage-observatory-canonical-current-study",
  "studyId": "study-002",
  "studyName": "The Lineage Lab",
  "publicName": "The Lineage Observatory",
  "sourceArtifacts": {
    "formationCloseout": "studies/study-002/persistent-agent/phase-end/FORMATION-PHASE-CLOSEOUT-20260812.json",
    "formationBoundaryDecision": "studies/study-002/persistent-agent/governance/DECISION-PA-043-PHASE-B-CONCEPTUAL-CONTRACT.json",
    "formationJudgment": "studies/study-002/persistent-agent/phase-end/independent-sources/openai/pass-1/PRIMARY-JUDGMENT.json",
    "phaseBCloseout": "studies/study-002/persistent-agent/phase-b/closeout/PHASE-B-CLOSEOUT-DECISION.json",
    "phaseBJudgment": "studies/study-002/persistent-agent/phase-b/closeout/openai-reader/PRIMARY-JUDGMENT.json",
    "phaseCPacket": "studies/study-002/persistent-agent/phase-b/closeout/PHASE-C-GOVERNANCE-DECISION-PACKET.json",
    "phaseRegistry": "lineage-observatory/phase-registry.mjs"
  },
  "currentPhaseBoundary": "Phase B Generalization complete; Phase C Shared-History Change next and not started",
  "formation": {
    "phaseId": "A",
    "name": "Formation",
    "status": "COMPLETE_VALID_FROZEN",
    "closed": true,
    "frozen": true,
    "valid": true,
    "dosage": [
      12,
      12,
      12,
      12,
      12,
      12,
      12,
      12
    ],
    "floor": 12,
    "scientificClassification": "INSUFFICIENT_FOR_SUPPORTED_FINDING",
    "closeoutStatus": "DEVELOPMENTALLY_CHARACTERIZED_ADVANCE",
    "round17Role": "formation-chronology-marker-not-current-frontier",
    "round17Sealed": true,
    "isCurrentScientificFrontier": false
  },
  "generalization": {
    "phaseId": "B",
    "name": "Generalization",
    "status": "COMPLETE",
    "qualifyingSequence": [
      "PB-GEN-04",
      "PB-GEN-05",
      "PB-GEN-06"
    ],
    "dosage": [
      3,
      3,
      3,
      3,
      3,
      3,
      3,
      3
    ],
    "qualifyingObservationCount": 3,
    "descriptiveStatus": "DESCRIPTIVE_GENERALIZATION_SUPPORTED",
    "causalFormationEffect": "CAUSAL_FORMATION_EFFECT_NOT_SUPPORTED",
    "classification": "PHASE_B_COMPLETE__DESCRIPTIVE_GENERALIZATION_SUPPORTED__CAUSAL_FORMATION_EFFECT_NOT_SUPPORTED",
    "commissioningNonqualifying": [
      "PB-GEN-01",
      "PB-GEN-02",
      "PB-GEN-03"
    ]
  },
  "phaseC": {
    "phaseId": "C",
    "name": "Shared-History Change",
    "status": "NOT_STARTED",
    "next": true,
    "authority": "NO_EXECUTION_AUTHORITY",
    "phaseCStarted": false,
    "governanceRequired": true
  },
  "laterPhases": [
    {
      "id": "D",
      "name": "Separation & Partner Change",
      "status": "PLANNED"
    },
    {
      "id": "E",
      "name": "New Pair Formation",
      "status": "PLANNED"
    },
    {
      "id": "F",
      "name": "Reunion",
      "status": "PLANNED"
    },
    {
      "id": "G",
      "name": "Relational Reflection",
      "status": "PLANNED"
    },
    {
      "id": "H",
      "name": "Integration",
      "status": "PLANNED"
    }
  ],
  "evidenceStatus": {
    "descriptiveFindings": "SUPPORTED_AT_COHORT_FORM_LEVEL",
    "causalPairHistoryFindings": 0,
    "supportedCausalFindingCount": 0,
    "supportedFindingCountMeaning": "Zero supported findings means zero supported causal pair-history findings. Descriptive generalization is supported. It does not mean that nothing was learned.",
    "unsupportedClaim": "The evidence does not isolate a causal effect of persistent pair history from prompt structure, role design, common inquiry framing, model behavior, source availability, and the provider/runtime handoff."
  },
  "evidenceLadder": {
    "observedDifference": true,
    "someRecurringCandidates": true,
    "stableDistinctivePairSpecificEffect": false,
    "causalSharedHistoryEffect": false,
    "rule": "Different is not necessarily durable. Durable is not necessarily unique. Unique is not necessarily pair-specific. Pair-specific would still not prove that shared history caused it."
  },
  "phaseRegistry": [
    {
      "id": "A",
      "slug": "formation",
      "name": "Formation",
      "status": "COMPLETE",
      "shortLabel": "Complete",
      "route": "/reports/formation",
      "reportRoute": "/reports/formation",
      "question": "What happens when the same collaborators keep working together?",
      "previous": null,
      "next": "B"
    },
    {
      "id": "B",
      "slug": "generalization",
      "name": "Generalization",
      "status": "COMPLETE",
      "shortLabel": "Complete",
      "route": "/reports/generalization",
      "reportRoute": "/reports/generalization",
      "question": "Same pairs. Same histories. New world. What travels?",
      "previous": "A",
      "next": "C"
    },
    {
      "id": "C",
      "slug": "shared-history-change",
      "name": "Shared-History Change",
      "status": "NEXT_NOT_STARTED",
      "shortLabel": "Next — not started",
      "route": "/phases/shared-history-change",
      "reportRoute": null,
      "question": "What happens when the pair stays the same but access to accumulated shared history changes?",
      "previous": "B",
      "next": "D"
    },
    {
      "id": "D",
      "slug": "separation-partner-change",
      "name": "Separation & Partner Change",
      "status": "PLANNED",
      "shortLabel": "Planned",
      "route": "/phases/separation-partner-change",
      "reportRoute": null,
      "question": "What travels with an individual, and what disappears with the original partner?",
      "previous": "C",
      "next": "E"
    },
    {
      "id": "E",
      "slug": "new-pair-formation",
      "name": "New Pair Formation",
      "status": "PLANNED",
      "shortLabel": "Planned",
      "route": "/phases/new-pair-formation",
      "reportRoute": null,
      "question": "Can a new working history begin to create its own patterns?",
      "previous": "D",
      "next": "F"
    },
    {
      "id": "F",
      "slug": "reunion",
      "name": "Reunion",
      "status": "PLANNED",
      "shortLabel": "Planned",
      "route": "/phases/reunion",
      "reportRoute": null,
      "question": "Does anything recognizable return when original collaborators reunite?",
      "previous": "E",
      "next": "G"
    },
    {
      "id": "G",
      "slug": "relational-reflection",
      "name": "Relational Reflection",
      "status": "PLANNED",
      "shortLabel": "Planned",
      "route": "/phases/relational-reflection",
      "reportRoute": null,
      "question": "What can collaborators represent about their accumulated interaction?",
      "previous": "F",
      "next": "H"
    },
    {
      "id": "H",
      "slug": "integration",
      "name": "Integration",
      "status": "PLANNED",
      "shortLabel": "Planned",
      "route": "/phases/integration",
      "reportRoute": null,
      "question": "What, if anything, became durable enough to matter across the larger history?",
      "previous": "G",
      "next": null
    }
  ],
  "publicStatusLabel": "Formation complete · Generalization complete · dosage 3 for every pair · descriptive persistence supported · Phase C not started",
  "footerLabel": "Formation complete · Generalization complete · Phase C not started",
  "formationFooter": "Formation evidence frozen through Round 17 · Generalization complete · Phase C not started",
  "historicalPublication": {
    "endpoint": "/data/publication.json",
    "studyId": "study-001",
    "role": "historical-pilot-publication",
    "mustNotBeReadAsCurrent": true
  },
  "currentPublicationEndpoint": "/data/current-study.json",
  "observatoryStateEndpoint": "/data/observatory-state.json",
  "participantInvocationsDuringThisProjection": 0
}
